Basics of Forex Fundamental Analysis
In order to make Forex trading strategy, most Forex traders rely on analysis such as fundamental analysis. Forex Fundamental Analysis is a type of market analysis that uses market trends to determine the future value of a particular currency in the FX market. Fundamental analysis gives us an overview of currency movements based on economic, political, environmental, other relevant factors and statistics that will affect the basic supply and demand of whatever underlies the financial instrument. Forex fundamental analysis strategies require a basic understanding of supply and demand since it provides information how political and economical events influence the currency market. It is about looking at the intrinsic value of an investment. In other words, its application entails looking at the economic conditions that affect the valuation of a nation's currency.
The basis of fundamental analysis is mainly on the political and economic changes as these can frequently affect currency prices. Thus, traders are most likely to gather information from news sources to determine unemployment forecasts, political ideologies, economic policies, inflation, and growth rates. Traders keep an eye on the figures and statements given in speeches by important politicians and economists, as well as announcements related to United States economy and politics. Speeches from prominent people like the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of USA, Secretary of Treasury, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and so on.
It is known that if there is a decrease in supply but the level of demand remains the same, there will be an increase in market prices. On the other hand, if there is an increase in supply, it produces the opposite effect. Thus, fundamental analysts study the supply and demand for the country's currency, products or services, quality management, government policies, past and forecast of performance, future plans and all the economic indicators like Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, interest rates, international trade, CPI, durable goods orders, PPI, PMI and retail orders. When all data is gathered from these studies, the analysts will construct a model that will check the current and estimated value of a currency against another. Analyst will then decide whether the currency ought to rise or fall after estimating the intrinsic value and comparing it to the current exchange rate.
In summary, Forex fundamental analysis focuses on what ought to happen in a market. Factors involved in price analysis include supply and demand, seasonal cycles, weather, and government policy. Thus, the fundamentalist studies that cause of market movement. Fundamental analyst needs to know a particular market intimately. In practice, traders use fundamental analysis in conjunction with technical analysis to determine a Forex trading strategy, fundamental analysis is considered to be the opposite of technical analysis.