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GBP Slides from Almost Two Month High

UFXBank Research from UFX Bank at 11/19/09


Daily Review 19/11/2009

USD Dollar (USD) – The Dollar strengthened against most majors after weaker housing Data. Building Permits came out at 0.55M vs. 0.59M forecast and Housing Starts came out 0.53M versus 0.61M expected. The cost of living in the U.S. rose more than forecast in October as Americans paid more for fuel, while so-called core prices held at a pace that supports the Federal Reserve’s forecast for tame inflation, core CPI came out at 0.2% vs. 0.1% forecast. NASDAQ and Dow Jones declined by -0.48% and -0.11% respectively, Crude oil has risen for three days in a row closing at 79.58% a barrel, Gold (XAU) continued to rise trading above 1140$ level and closed at 1141.2$ an ounce. Today, Unemployment Claims are expected at 503K vs. 502K prior. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index is expected with 12.3 versus 11.5.
EURO (EUR) –The Euro advanced against the Dollar as Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said past experience indicates policy makers may not start to raise interest rates until early 2012. Current account came out worse than expected with -5.4B vs. 0.6B forecast. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4857 and with a high of 1.4990. Today, ECB president Trichet will speak at the Euro50 Group Conference in Paris.
EUR/USD - Last: 1.4921

Resistance 1.4966 1.4993 1.5016
Support 1.4912 1.4824

British Pound (GBP) – The Pound slid from almost a 2 month high against the Euro and declined versus the Dollar after MPC Meeting Minutes of this month’s Bank of England meeting showed the vote to increase the bond-purchase program by 25 billion pounds ($42 billion) wasn’t unanimous. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6714 and with a high of 1.6845. Today, Retail Sales are expected with 0.6% vs. 0.0% prior.
GBP/USD - Last: 1.6697

Resistance 1.6747 1.6845 1.6873
Support 1.6668 1.6624 1.6515

Japanese Yen (JPY) –The Yen weakened against the Dollar trading with a low of 89 and with a high of 89.48. In addition, Japanese stocks fell, led by real- estate companies on concern sales of new equity will dilute earnings per share and after investment ratings were cut. Today, Bank of Japan will release its Interest Decision expected to remain at 0.1%.
USD/JPY-Last: 89.09

Resistance 89.46 89.72 90.41
Support 89 88.73

Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar fell for a second day versus the Dollar as CPI figures came out worse than expected at -0.1% vs. 0.2% forecast and stocks declined decreasing demand for higher yielding assets. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0449 and with a high of 1.0582. Today, Leading Index is expected at 0.8% vs. 1.1% prior, Wholesale Sales are expected at 0.6% vs. -1.4% prior. Bank of Canada Governor Carney will speak in New York about the monetary system.
CAD/USD - Last: 1.0579

Resistance 1.0618
Support 1.0540 1.0502 1.0437

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