Gold Daily Technical Outlook

Oil N' Gold Team from Oil N' Gold at 02/18/10

Comex Gold (GC)

Gold failed to stay above 1126.4 resistance and retreated sharply. With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Note that with 1126.4 intact, we're still favoring the case that recent decline from 1227.5 is not over yet. Below 1077.3 minor support will indicate that rebound from 1044.5 has completed and will flip intraday bias back to the downside for another low below 1044.5. However, note that sustained trading above 1126.4 resistance will argue that correction from 1227.5 has already completed and will turn focus to 1163 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, gold has made a medium term top at 1227.5 and correction from there is likely still in progress to 100% projection of 1227.2 to 1075.2 from 1163 at 1010.7, which is close to 1000 psychological level. However, we'd expect such correction to be contained there at around 1000 psychological level and bring resumption of the whole up trend from 2008 low of 681. A break above 1126.4 resistance will indicate that such correction has completed and will turn outlook bullish for another high above 1227.5. However, note that sustained trading below 1000 will dampen our view and put 931.3 key structural support into focus.

Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours and Daily Chart