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USD Fell During Asian Session

UFXBank Research from UFX Bank at 02/04/10


Daily Review 4/2/2010

USD Dollar (USD) – The Dollar fell during the Asian session across the board but then recovered sharply and finished with important gains against major. Stocks lost ground in the US and fell moderately despite a better than expected data of The ADP Nonfarm Employment Change which came out -22K vs. -40K expected. Dow Jones lost 0.26% and NASDAQ managed to finish with a marginal increase of 0.04%. Crude oil jumped to 78$ level but failed to hold and fell back closing at 77.07$ a barrel. Gold (XAU) closed at 1109$ an ounce. Today, Initial Jobless Claims are expected at 455k vs. 470K previously. Nonfarm Productivity is expected at 6% vs. 8.1% previously and The Unit Labor Cost is expected unchanged at 2.5%.
EURO (EUR) – Euro turned lower after the release of better than expected January ADP employment report as the report fuels US recovery hopes and higher bond yields. It failed to hold above 1.4 and tumbled to levels below 1.39. Retail Sales came out 0% worse than 0.4% expected. The pair EUR/USD ended the day around daily lows. If the pair sustains above 1.3830 levels a rebound to 1.4020 could be seen. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3884 and a high of 1.4026. Today, German Factory Orders are expected at 0.2% vs. 2.8% previously and the Interest rate decision is expected unchanged at 1% and will attract most attention.
EUR/USD - Last: 1.389

Resistance 1.395 1.399 1.4025
Support 1.385 1.3775 1.375

British Pound (GBP) – The Pound was unable to stay above 1.6 and tumbled below 1.59 losing gains. The Services PMI came out 54.5 worse than 56.8 expected. If the pair will drop below the support at 1.5880 declines below 1.58 could be seen. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5875 and a high of 1.6068. Today, the Halifax House Price Index is expected at 0.9% vs. 1% prior and later the important Interest rate decision is expected unchanged at 0.5% and the Q.E program expected unchanged with 200B.
GBP/USD - Last: 1.5910

Resistance 1.597 1.6025 1.6055
Support 1.585 1.58 1.578

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Yen weakened across the board and finished with declines. The slid in stocks prevented the Yen from falling further. If the pair USD/JPY sustains above the support of 90.5 an upside run to 91.8 could be seen. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 90.06 and a high of 91.27. No major economic data expected today.
USD/JPY-Last: 90.9

Resistance 90.6 90.95 91.2
Support 90 89.6 89.35

Canadian Dollar (CAD) – The Canadian dollar dropped as stocks fell and crude oil prices fluctuated, discouraging demand for currencies related to economic growth. If the pair USD/CAD sustains the 1.6020 resistance level, downtrend acceleration could be seen to the 1.0480 area. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0544 and a high of 1.0635. Today, Building Permits are expected at -3.3% vs. -4.6% previously and the Ivey PMI is expected at 52 vs. 48.4 prior.
USD/CAD - Last: 1.0605

Resistance 1.064 1.0685 1.072
Support 1.058 1.0545 1.0525

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