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EURUSD, GBPUSD & USDJPY Support & Resistance Analysis

RANsquawk Research Team from RANsquawk at 11/19/09

 


Pivotfarm.com is a provider of Technical Analysis data sheets for traders of various markets. Our data considers some of the most widely followed methodologies including Market Profile, Fibonacci, Volume Analysis, Calculated Pivots and most importantly price based Support and Resistance (S&R). We have combined all these methodologies in a confluence matrix. This allows the trader to determine the strength and importance of an S&R level; based upon the levels other market participants using differing calculation methods (Market Profile, Fibonacci etc) are watching. The Trading sheets are updated daily, many hours before the open of the trading session.


EURUSD


GBPUSD


USDJPYGlossary/User Info

Using this Information

The black strip of price based S/R numbers are the key data described in these data sheets, these numbers are not calculated they are based upon analysis of swing lows across multiple time frames.

The sheet is structured around a central ‘S/R level Confluences table’ encircled by multiple peripheral data tables which feed into the central table. The peripheral tables help traders to add probability to potential price based S/R areas. Importantly all peripheral data sources such as Fibonacci Clusters, Volume Extremes etc, can be used completely independently of the main table. The information in this sheet is to be used solely as a guide, varying market conditions, news and volatility must be gauged by the individual trader.

IB – Initial Balance

The ‘Initial Balance’ is commonly used in Market Profile and simply describes the high and low of the first hour of trading. The data described is from the previous trading day.

TPO Value Area

The ‘TPO Value Area’ data is derived from Market Profile; the data described is created from the profile of the previous day’s price action. It defines the value area i.e. the area in which price spent 70% of its time, the high of this 70% range being the VAH and the low being the VAL .

Importantly the POC as described, is the price point that was most heavily traded and offers a key point of reference for trading.

VAH – Value Area High POC – Point of Control VAL – Value Area Low

Volume Virgin POCs

The ‘Virgin POCs’ is data created from the Volume based POC (Point of Control) of previous trading days; it is related to the ‘Volume Density Extremes’ data, in that it is volume extreme based, however it is based upon individual trading days, rather than cumulative volume data. The POC is the price at which the highest amount of volume was traded that day, Virgin POCs are POCs that price hasn’t retested since their formation, thus offering an increased possibility of being ‘filled’ in future price movements.

Bank Flow Levels

The ‘Bank Flow Levels’ describe data where bank and institutional activity is likely. The data we describe in the Bank flow levels table is gathered from sources within banking circles. We cannot guarantee the accuracy of this data, as such it should be used as a guide/reference area.

S/R Level Confluences Table

The ‘S/R Level Confluences’ table is the single most important element of the Pivotfarm data sheet, the levels described on the left hand side of the table are defined by price and offer high probability areas for price reversal. The rest of the information is derived from the peripheral tables that surround the central table. They offer confirmation and confluence of the S/R levels and help users to determine when other market participants using that particular piece of information may be entering the market.

Pivot Points

The ‘Pivot Points’ data is widely used with various calculation methods, including Camarilla, Woodie and DeMark. These are calculations based upon the open, high, low and close of the previous day and provide mathematically derived Support/Resistance levels.

Prior Day Summary

The ‘Prior Day Summary’ data very simply describes the Open, High, Low, Close and Range of the previous trading session and also the range of the trading day.

Key News Events

The ‘Key News Events’ table describes scheduled market events that are likely to effect the trading session, not all scheduled events are included, only events that are key and likely to have an effect are included.

5/20 Day Value Area

The ‘5/20 Day Value Area’ data is a version of the ‘TPO Value Area’. It defines the price points between which 70% of price action has occurred in that time frame.

VPOC

The ‘VPOC’ data describes the Volume Point of Control for the previous trading day. The VPOC is the price point at which the highest amount of volume was traded that day.

Daily Moving Averages

The ‘Daily Moving Averages’ data describes the relative positions of the 10, 20, 50, 100 and 200 day simple and exponential moving averages. These daily MAs are amongst the most widely watched in the market and based upon 24hr data.

Volume Extremes

The ‘Volume Extremes’ data is based upon long-term cumulative volume against price, the most noticeable volume peaks and valleys ar e described in the table. These are areas that are highly likely to be Support/Resistance as price is often drawn to these levels due to the extreme amounts of volume traded there over time.

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