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Gold Daily Technical Outlook

Oil N' Gold Team from Oil N' Gold at 02/17/10

 


Comex Gold (GC)

Gold's rise from 1044.5 extends further to as high as 1124.6 so far today. While the rebound is strong, it's still limited below 1126.4. And we'd slightly prefer to case that gold as not bottomed yet. Below 1077.3 minor support will indicate that such rebound have completed and will bring fall resumption for another low below 1044.5. However, note that firm break of 1126.4 resistance will argue that correction from 1227.5 has already completed and will turn focus to 1163 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, gold has made a medium term top at 1227.5 and correction from there is likely still in progress to 100% projection of 1227.2 to 1075.2 from 1163 at 1010.7, which is close to 1000 psychological level. However, we'd expect such correction to be contained there at around 1000 psychological level and bring resumption of the whole up trend from 2008 low of 681. A break above 1126.4 resistance will indicate that such correction has completed and will turn outlook bullish for another high above 1227.5. However, note that sustained trading below 1000 will dampen our view and put 931.3 key structural support into focus.

Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours and Daily Charts

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